Every NFL team’s odds to win the Super Bowl following opening days of free agency

NFL free agency is underway and we’ve already seen many high-profile names sign big contracts. Derek Carr is now in New Orleans, Jimmy Garoppolo is in Las Vegas, and Javon Hargrave has moved from Philadelphia to San Francisco, to name a few.
There are still a few dominos to drop, like Orlando Brown or the Jets’ potential acquisition of Aaron Rodgers, but next year’s Super Bowl prospects are crystallizing after a chaotic few days.
Let’s take a look at where each team’s Super Bowl odds stand below and if there are any value bets, though let’s first see how you can secure a $365 guaranteed win from Bet365!
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Odds of each NFL team winning the Super Bowl
Super Bowl 2024
Latest odds update
March 15, 2023 at 4:46 pm
Kansas City Chiefs: +600 San Francisco 49ers: +700 Buffalo Bills: +850 Philadelphia Eagles: +850 Cincinnati Bengals: +900 Dallas Cowboys: +1400 New York Jets: +1400 Baltimore Ravens: +2500 Denver Broncos: +2500 Miami Dolphins : + 2500 Detroit Angeles Chargers: + 2500 : + 2500 Jacksonville Jaguars: + 2800 Green Bay Packers: + 3500 Cleveland Browns: + 3500 New Orleans Saints: + 3500 Las Vegas Raiders: + 4000 New York Giants: + 4000 Minnesota Bear Vikings: + 4500 Chicago Bears500s: + 4500 Chicago P500s Steelers: +5,500Criots: Panthers: +6,000 Los Angeles Rams: +6,000 Tampa Bay Buccaneers: +6,500 Washington Leaders: +7,000 Seattle Seahawks: +7,000 Atlanta Falcons: +7,500 Tennessee Titans: +8,000 Indianapolis Colts: +15,000 Houston Texans : +20,000 Arizona Cardinals: +20,000
3 teams to bet now
Looking at the NFL landscape, three of these teams jump out to me as potential values.
(+600) Kansas City Chiefs
Super Bowl 2024
Latest odds update
March 15, 2023 at 4:46 pm
As long as Patrick Mahomes stays healthy, the Chiefs should be closer to +400. After signing Joanne Taylor and Charles Omeniho, Kansas City filled two important gaps left after the departures of Frank Clarke and Orlando Brown. The team should be better next year, while the rest of the AFC looks weaker at the top.
Buffalo and Cincinnati both have to replace their primary defensive contributors, while contract Lamar Jackson feuds with Baltimore’s hamstring. I’m not a believer in Aaron Rodgers at this point in his career, so the Jets aren’t scary either. At odds of +600, the bosses are an excellent value.
Jacksonville Jaguars (+2800)
Super Bowl 2024
Latest odds update
March 15, 2023 at 4:46 pm
I think the Jags and Jets should be turned around here, because the rapid rise of Trevor Lawrence will make Jacksonville a contender as soon as next year. The addition of Calvin Ridley from suspension and resignation Evan Ingram gives dynamic playmakers alongside Travis Etienne and Christian Kirk, while the defense should take a step forward next year as its recent selections continue to evolve.
The Colts, Texans, and Titans have three of the worst Super Bowl prospects among all AFC teams. With little to no competition in the division, Jacksonville would cruise into the playoffs at home and finish the season close to +1200 for the Lombardy win.
(+4000) New York Giants
Super Bowl 2024
Latest odds update
March 15, 2023 at 4:46 pm
Scanning the NFC landscape, things quickly get flaky after the Eagles and 49ers. There is a power vacuum near the top of the conference and the Giants are willing to step into that void.
Daniel Jones is back for another year of development under quarterback Brian Dabul after a solid showing last year. Darren Waller is a huge acquisition and gives Jones a legitimate pass-catching option, though I would expect another move at wide receiver either in the draft or free agency.
Bobby Okereke is a great opportunity for room linebacker, and I trust this coaching staff to get the Giants back into the playoffs with odds under +4000.
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The game odds are updated periodically and are subject to change.